ENTSO-E’s MAF 2019 is out now


The European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) has released the new 2019 edition of the Midterm Adequacy Forecast (MAF). In this context, “adequacy” refers to the balance between electricity generation and demand and the forecast is based on a comprehensive mathematical analysis of future pan-European supply security over the period up to 2021 and 2025. The MAF examines not only the interdependencies of supply and demand, but also of storage, climatic conditions, and interconnection capacity. This year, the data granularity and quality were further improved, in particular, with information on thermal generation, an improved hydrological database and a new calculation methodology for demand time series.

The results of MAF 2019 show a low risk for adequacy. However, the MAF also underlines the increasingly important role of cross-border cooperation between transmission system operators (TSOs) in promoting adequacy throughout the interconnected pan-European electricity system. As in the previous issue, MAF 2019 includes a low carbon scenario that considers the impact of the decommissioning of coal-fired plants by 2025. Here the results for some market areas directly or indirectly affected show increased risks. Sources of flexibility such as demand side patterns, storage, interconnections and enhanced and smarter integration of renewable and distributed energy sources are thus required.

The MAF is part of the broader 10-year Network Development Plan (TYNDP), which assesses system needs up to 2040. The results of MAF 2019 will be open to public consultation until 13 January 2020. In addition, ENTSO-E will organise a public webinar on 4 December to discuss the MAF results.

ENTSO-E has released the MAF 2019 (picture: ENTSO-E)

> See ENTSO-E press release (html)
> Visit MAF 2019 website with access to appendices and data sets (html)
> Open executive summary of MAF 2019 (pdf, 1.29MB)
> Access to public consultation (html)
> Register for the webinar (html)

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2nd CBA guideline approved


The European Commission (EC) has approved the second Guideline for Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) of grid development projects submitted by the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E). The comprehensive CBA document, now published by ENTSO-E, and the new methodology included in the publication are the result of a three-year process that has taken full account of the proposals of stakeholders, member states, regulators and the EC. ENTSO-E itself describes the guideline design as “learning by implementing”.

The CBA methodology is of such significance in that it not only provides the sole European methodology allowing a consistent assessment of Ten-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) transfer and storage projects, but its results are also the main input for the EC in the selection of European Projects of Common Interest (PCIs). In addition, the European CBA methodology can be regarded as a source of learning for national CBAs.

The European Commission has approved the 2nd ENTSO-E guideline for the CBA of grid development projects

> See ENTSO-E press release (html, with access to CBA guideline)

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ENTSO-E releases new TYNDP


On 23 June 2016 the “European Network of Transmission System Operators” (ENTSO-E) published its biennial 10-year network development plan. The included infrastructural measures are destined to enable the European electricity grid to reduce emissions by 80% and integrate 60% renewables by 2030. The plan comprises of 200 transmission and storage projects with a total budget of €150bn.

Since this appears like a remarkably high sum, Konstantin Staschus, Secretary-General of ENTSO-E, explains that €150bn actually make up “only a 1% increase of the total consumer bill”. Staschus adds that “this investment will save customers about twice as much money as it costs”. The importance of grid expansion regarding the future growth of the renewables’ share can not be underestimated. Local solutions or storage concepts will not be sufficient and a powerful grid is utterly “needed to shift large volumes of renewables from the peripheries to the consumption centres”. Staschus comes to the conclusion that “the energy transition and transmission grids are two sides of the same coin”.

While the network development plan for 2018 is already in the making, the monitoring of projects from the 2014 plan has revealed that about 25% of the ongoing constructions and expansions are expected to be delayed. After all, this is a slight improvement of five percent less compared to the last survey. The main reason for delays still is the objection of local residents, landowners or municipalities against nearby grid projects.

> See ENTSO-E press release (html)

Picture: Screenshot taken from video “TYNDP – What’s it all about?” (ENTSO-EW)

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Having an European say


Since stakeholder interaction is one of the key components in much of ENTSO-E’s work, there are currently three open public consultations, for which stakeholders are asked to contribute. A triple chance to speak one’s piece.

> Public Consultation on the Annual Work Programme 2014-2015 (until 29 August)

> Public Consultation on Adequacy Methodology (until 19 September)

> Public Consultation on the Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2014 (until 20 September)


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