ENTSO-E’s MAF 2019 is out now

23.11.2019

The European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) has released the new 2019 edition of the Midterm Adequacy Forecast (MAF). In this context, “adequacy” refers to the balance between electricity generation and demand and the forecast is based on a comprehensive mathematical analysis of future pan-European supply security over the period up to 2021 and 2025. The MAF examines not only the interdependencies of supply and demand, but also of storage, climatic conditions, and interconnection capacity. This year, the data granularity and quality were further improved, in particular, with information on thermal generation, an improved hydrological database and a new calculation methodology for demand time series.

The results of MAF 2019 show a low risk for adequacy. However, the MAF also underlines the increasingly important role of cross-border cooperation between transmission system operators (TSOs) in promoting adequacy throughout the interconnected pan-European electricity system. As in the previous issue, MAF 2019 includes a low carbon scenario that considers the impact of the decommissioning of coal-fired plants by 2025. Here the results for some market areas directly or indirectly affected show increased risks. Sources of flexibility such as demand side patterns, storage, interconnections and enhanced and smarter integration of renewable and distributed energy sources are thus required.

The MAF is part of the broader 10-year Network Development Plan (TYNDP), which assesses system needs up to 2040. The results of MAF 2019 will be open to public consultation until 13 January 2020. In addition, ENTSO-E will organise a public webinar on 4 December to discuss the MAF results.

ENTSO-E has released the MAF 2019 (picture: ENTSO-E)

Linkup
> See ENTSO-E press release (html)
> Visit MAF 2019 website with access to appendices and data sets (html)
> Open executive summary of MAF 2019 (pdf, 1.29MB)
> Access to public consultation (html)
> Register for the webinar (html)

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Interconnected flexibility for the energy future

02.10.2017

The generation of green energy is crucial for a sustainable, low-carbon energy future. While no one would seriously doubt this plain fact, it is by no means the only determinant – interconnection, flexibility and policy coordination are equally relevant. That is convincingly demonstrated in the new 2017 edition of the Midterm Adequacy Forecast (MAF) of the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E).

The MAF is a comprehensive mathematical analysis of the future pan-European supply security up to 2020 and 2025. Cross-border interconnectors and the extension of transmission capacities are surely a must, but what the MAF also illustrates is the potential of coordination among transmission system operators (TSOs) and the need to synchronise divergent national policies and regulations.

Laurent Schmitt, ENTSO-E’s Secretary General, explains: ” When it comes to electricity, European countries are highly interdependent.” This large degree of mutual dependency of individual European countries’ power systems makes a close collaboration of the respective TSOs indispensable. Regional service coordinators (RSCs) such as TSCNET Services are of vital importance in this regard.

> See ENTSO-E news release (HTML)

Picture: ENTSO-E

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